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Tariffs Hit U.S. Ports + India Bombs Pakistan
Wednesday Edition | May 7, 2025
![]() | Welcome back! It’s Wednesday, May 7th We’re at a pivotal moment. Chinese goods are arriving at U.S. ports under the full weight of 145% tariffs, straining retailers and supply chains. The Federal Reserve is poised to announce its rate decision later today, with expectations leaning toward maintaining current rates amid conflicting economic signals. Abroad, India’s recent airstrikes into Pakistan mark a significant escalation, raising concerns over regional stability. The Anxiety Forecast? Steady for now, but under pressure. |

Top Stories
First 145% Chinese Shipments Hit Port of LA This Week
Ships arriving this week in Los Angeles are the first to carry Chinese goods taxed at the full 145% rate. Imports are already down more than 50% compared to last year. Dozens of scheduled sailings have been canceled, and retailers are shelving orders to avoid skyrocketing costs. With inventory drying up, stores are bracing for a rough summer.
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WHY IT MATTERS
Even though tariffs have been pulled, reimposed, and shifted around, the impact is starting to show. Shortages could begin by mid-to-late June, especially for basics like phone chargers, laptops, summer clothes, kitchenware, and furniture. Prices on everyday items such as $30 sneakers, $15 fans, and $60 desks could quietly rise or sell out altogether. I’m not suggesting anyone panic buy, but I do think it’s smart to pick up the things you know you’ll need while prices and options are still steady. A little adjustment now goes a long way later.
Fed Holds Rates as Inflation and Trade Risks Loom
Despite pressure from President Trump to slash rates, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates steady today. With inflation still above target, GDP shrinking last quarter, and trade tensions rising, officials say it’s too early to pivot. The Fed’s decision is set for 2 p.m. ET.
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WHY IT MATTERS
Rates are expected to stay between 4.25 and 4.5%, which means borrowing costs will remain high for now. If you’ve been waiting on lower credit card, auto loan, or mortgage rates, that relief may not come until late summer or later. That said, things could shift quickly depending on inflation, trade developments, or political pressure. I’ll continue tracking these moves and update you as the landscape changes—so you can adjust without getting caught off guard.
India and Pakistan Enter Dangerous New Phase
India launched airstrikes early Wednesday on targets inside Pakistan, including sites in Punjab for the first time in over 50 years. The move was in response to an April terror attack in Kashmir that left 26 civilians dead. Pakistan claims to have shot down five Indian jets, while India has confirmed at least two crashes. Cross-border shelling has intensified, airports are shut down, and both countries have activated air defense systems.
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WHY IT MATTERS
This is a serious flare-up between two nuclear powers, and it could ripple into global markets. The U.S. is actively negotiating a trade deal with India, and this conflict may delay or reshape those talks. If tensions grow, expect possible spikes in oil prices, added pressure on supply chains, and increased diplomatic strain. Nothing is shifting at home just yet, but I’m tracking this closely and will keep you updated as things unfold.

Why it Matters:
Oil prices are falling, but not because supply is strong. It’s because demand is weak, and that points to slower economic activity beneath the surface. Gold is slipping and the dollar is gaining, which tells us investors are stepping back and watching how things play out between the Fed, China, and U.S. trade moves. This kind of movement shapes how goods move, how prices shift, and how much buying power you actually have. Knowing where things stand now helps you make clearer decisions before it shows up in your day-to-day.
Grocery Watch

Food Recalls
Tomatoes sold in 14 states have been recalled due to salmonella concerns. Affected products came from Ray & Mascari Inc. and Williams Farms Repack, with distribution spanning grocery stores and wholesalers. Check labels and toss or return if you see lot codes R4467 or R4470.
Top Stories
New tariffs are raising costs on key grocery items. Bananas (nearly 100% imported), coffee (over 95%), and seafood (94%) are directly exposed. A 10% base tariff and 145 percent duty on Chinese goods are pressuring supply chains, while retaliatory tariffs could drive up chicken prices by disrupting $1.1 billion in poultry exports.
Whats Moving (Crop Progress & Price Outlook)
Corn and soybean planting continues to move ahead of schedule. Corn is now 40% planted and soybeans are at 30%, both above their five-year averages. Louisiana remains the frontrunner in soybeans with 80% planted. Corn emergence is at 11%, signaling solid early momentum.
Winter wheat quality is showing signs of improvement after weeks of concern. 51% of the crop is now rated good to excellent, with Kansas sitting at 47%. Heading is at 39%, slightly below last year but pacing ahead of average. Spring wheat, oats, and barley are all advancing faster than expected, especially in the Northern Plains. Rice planting is now at 73%, with over half of the crop emerged.
What It Means
The early planting season is off to a solid start, which helps ease pressure on supply later this summer. Wheat quality is improving, but Kansas remains behind the curve and that matters for everyday items like bread, cereal, and pasta. At the same time, tariffs are beginning to push up prices on imported staples such as bananas, seafood, and coffee, while fresh produce like tomatoes is facing recalls. It is not panic time, but with weather, trade, and food safety all shifting at once, staying alert now can help you avoid surprises later.
SEE YOU FRIDAY!
Thanks for reading. If this helped you make sense of what’s happening, consider sharing it with someone who might find it useful. I’ll be back Friday with more updates to help you stay informed, safe, and prepared. Subscribe below to get the next edition.