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Power Shifts, Policy Shocks, and Explosive Setbacks: What You Need to Know This Week

From trade wars to workforce cuts and global tensions, how this week’s biggest decisions could impact you.

Happy Friday everyone! This week has been a whirlwind of high-stakes decisions and shifting global power dynamics. From Trump’s latest tariff delays to Europe rethinking its nuclear defense, the landscape is changing fast. Meanwhile, SpaceX faced another explosive setback, the VA is set to cut 70,000 jobs, and the administration is weighing mass deportations—including for thousands of Ukrainians. As always, we’re breaking it all down so you can stay informed, stay ahead, and stay ready.

BRIEFING ROOM

ECONOMY

Trump Delays Tariffs for Goods Under Mexico, Canada Trade Deal

President Trump has temporarily suspended the 25% tariffs he imposed on imports from Canada and Mexico just days earlier, adding further instability to U.S. trade policy. The exemptions, which expire on April 2, come after pressure from business leaders and foreign officials warning of economic fallout. Canada, in response, has delayed planned retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, while Mexico has agreed to further border enforcement efforts. The delay does not extend to energy imports, which remain under a separate 10% levy, or steel and aluminum, set for new 25% tariffs starting March 12. With financial markets reacting to the unpredictability, the White House maintains that future trade actions will depend on Mexico and Canada’s handling of fentanyl trafficking and broader economic negotiations.

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STAY READY

Trump has repeatedly threatened tariffs, only to delay or modify them at the last minute—most recently in February. With the latest tariff suspension set to expire on April 2, it’s unclear whether they will actually take effect or be adjusted again. This uncertainty makes it important to stay aware rather than react too soon. While fuel and certain consumer goods could see price increases if tariffs are enforced, past patterns suggest policy shifts can happen quickly. The best approach is to monitor updates closely, consider how these changes might impact your budget, and be ready to adapt if necessary.

GEOPOLITICS

China Warns the U.S. It’s ‘Ready for War’ Over Tariffs

Tensions between the U.S. and China are escalating as Beijing responds aggressively to Trump’s latest tariffs. After the U.S. imposed a sweeping 10-15% tax on Chinese goods, China retaliated with tariffs on American farm products and issued a rare, direct warning that it is “ready to fight any type of war.” Beijing has also announced a 7.2% increase in military spending while framing the U.S. as an unstable aggressor embroiled in global conflicts. Behind the rhetoric, China is attempting to balance economic damage control with a show of strength, reassuring both its domestic population and potential new trade partners.

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THE ROAD AHEAD

With both sides escalating, this trade war could deepen, impacting U.S. consumers through higher costs on Chinese goods and retaliatory tariffs on American exports. China may also strengthen ties with other global partners, isolating the U.S. in trade negotiations. If tensions rise further, Trump’s administration could respond with more aggressive policies, pushing this conflict beyond just economics.

GEOPOLITICS

European leaders have pledged to significantly increase defense spending after Trump signaled the U.S. would no longer guarantee Europe’s security. In an emergency summit, the EU agreed to loosen budget rules to free up €800 billion for military investment, alongside €150 billion in loans for defense projects. Leaders stressed the urgency of strengthening Europe’s security, with France even discussing the role of its nuclear deterrent. While Ukraine remains a priority, obstacles remain, including Hungary’s resistance and uncertainty over how struggling economies will fund the spending surge.

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THE ROAD AHEAD

Europe is moving toward greater military self-reliance, accelerating defense cooperation and reducing dependence on U.S. security guarantees. While Ukraine will benefit from some of these investments, near-term supply gaps remain as U.S. military aid is frozen. This shift also raises questions about NATO’s future and whether Europe can unify its defense strategy amid economic challenges.

POLITICS

Trump Clarifies Limits on Musk’s Role in Federal Layoffs

Amid backlash over mass federal layoffs, Trump met with his Cabinet and Elon Musk to refine the administration’s approach to workforce cuts. While Trump reiterated his goal of reducing government inefficiency, he emphasized that agency heads, not Musk, would determine who stays and who goes. His comments mark an effort to distance himself from the sweeping terminations that have drawn legal scrutiny. Despite this, Trump made clear that cuts are still expected and that Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) remains central to the process. The administration plans to hold biweekly meetings to oversee restructuring, leaving open questions about whether fired workers will be reinstated.

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THE ROAD AHEAD

Trump says agency heads will decide on cuts, but Musk’s influence over government operations remains strong. With biweekly meetings planned and legal challenges mounting, the extent of this shift is unclear. Whether this leads to real efficiency or deeper instability will depend on how power is actually distributed in the months ahead.

THE DEBRIEF

For the second time, SpaceX’s Starship suffered a catastrophic failure midflight, losing contact just 20 seconds before its planned ascent burn ended. The explosion, visible from parts of Florida, prompted the FAA to halt flights into and out of major Florida airports, including Miami and Orlando, due to falling debris. While SpaceX successfully landed the Super Heavy booster, the Starship vehicle itself was lost—mirroring a similar failure in January, when debris rained over Turks and Caicos. SpaceX says it will review flight data to improve the system’s reliability, but repeated failures raise concerns about safety, environmental risks, and the company’s rapid testing approach.

French President Emmanuel Macron proposed discussions on extending France’s nuclear deterrent to protect Europe from Russian threats, drawing support from Poland and the Baltic states while facing backlash from Moscow. Poland called it a “significant” step, while Lithuania praised the idea of a nuclear umbrella as a deterrent. However, Germany and the UK remain cautious, emphasizing NATO’s existing nuclear structure. The Kremlin condemned Macron’s remarks as “extremely confrontational,” highlighting rising tensions as Europe rethinks its security strategy.

The Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) will eliminate 70,000 jobs by August as part of the Trump administration’s federal workforce reduction led by DOGE and VA Secretary Doug Collins. Collins insists the cuts will not impact healthcare or benefits, saying they are aimed at increasing efficiency and reducing bureaucracy. However, critics warn of serious consequences, with Sen. Richard Blumenthal calling it a “shameful betrayal” that could undermine the PACT Act, a law expanding veteran healthcare. The VA employees’ union also fears longer wait times and disruptions in services. With lawsuits already challenging other mass layoffs, the future of these cuts remains uncertain.

The Trump administration is considering revoking temporary legal status for 240,000 Ukrainians who fled the Russian invasion, potentially putting them on a fast track for deportation as early as April. This move is part of a broader plan to end Biden-era parole programs, affecting over 1.8 million migrants. While Trump says “no decision has been made,” critics warn this could leave Ukrainians with nowhere to return as their homes and cities have been destroyed. The decision comes as the administration steps up deportations and tightens immigration policies.

The Trump administration is ramping up economic pressure on Iran, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent vowing to shut down Iran’s oil sector and drone manufacturing. The sanctions, designed for “maximum impact,” aim to slash Iran’s 1.5 million barrels per day in oil exports and cut off Tehran from the global financial system. Oil prices rose following the announcement, as markets reacted to the expected supply disruption. While Trump says he still prefers a “Verified Nuclear Peace Agreement”, critics warn that economic collapse could further destabilize the region.

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